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Articles & papers

Private Equity Performance: What Do We Know?

Robert S. Harris, Tim Jenkinson, and Steven N. Kaplan · The Journal of Finance, 2014 · The Journal of Finance, vol. 69, no. 5, pp. 1851-1882

Preparing to sellStructure & financingOwners deciding whether the sponsor across the table is worth partnering with
Why it is on the shelf. The update that settled much of the performance debate with better data: U.S. buyout funds have consistently outperformed public markets, on the order of a few percent annually over a fund’s life. Context for every owner who wonders whether private equity’s confidence is earned.

The Institute's reading

Using the Burgiss dataset built from investors’ own records, Harris, Jenkinson and Kaplan found buyout fund outperformance versus the S&P 500 averaging twenty to twenty-seven percent over a fund’s life, more than three percent annually, robust across benchmarks, with venture a more cyclical story. The paper is also a lesson in data humility: earlier, gloomier conclusions partly reflected weaker databases.

The Institute’s reading: sellers should take two things. The industry buying companies like yours is, in aggregate, good at it, which is a reason for preparation rather than awe. And returns of that kind are earned partly at entry, in the price and terms you accept, which is the most practical argument on this shelf for competition and readiness on the sell side.

Key propositions

  • Buyout funds have outperformed public markets consistently in the best available data.
  • Conclusions about private markets are only as good as the database; provenance matters.

In practice

  • Treat a sponsor’s sophistication as a given and prepare accordingly; their return begins with your price.
Acquisition Conciergeorientation · not legal, tax or valuation advice
Happy to dig into it. What would you like to pressure-test from Private Equity Performance: What Do We Know?: one of its propositions, how it applies to your situation, or where it disagrees with the rest of the shelf?